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The
New York Times
October
19, 1999
Candidate
on the Stump Is Surely on the Web
By
Tina Kelley
The
modern campaign headquarters is no longer a rented storefront decorated
with bumper stickers, bunting and empty soda cans. Increasingly
it has an annex open any hour of the day or night, at an address
starting with www.
If
in 1996 a candidate could prove hipness simply by posting an electronic
version of a campaign brochure on the World Wide Web, White House
hopefuls for 2000 are learning to use their Internet sites to raise
money and rally troops. The Web page is the new whistle-stop, a
way for candidates to carry their messages daily to more people
than they can reach on the campaign trail.
By
posting everything from their baby pictures (as George W. Bush has
done) to their favorite Bible stories (an offering from Elizabeth
Dole), candidates are using the Internet as a fireside chat room,
to portray themselves as just plain folks.
The
sites also provide a new conduit for cash: Bill Bradley has towered
over the opposition in on-line fund-raising, while the Steve Forbes
campaign created a way for Web surfers to crash a recent $1,000-a-plate
gala -- for a small fee, of course.
No
one is suggesting that the Internet has come of age as a medium
of political influence, as television did most notably with the
Kennedy-Nixon debates of 1960. But with 67 million Americans on
line, up from 7.5 million four years ago, it has become a new variable
in campaign calculus.
"It
used to be said the candidate had to have a good message, a good
ground game and enough money to wage a good air game on TV," said
Rick Segal, the Internet strategy adviser to Forbes. "This is the
first cycle that it can be proven that a candidate needs to have
a good on-line game as well."
That
game includes producing fill-in-the-blank e-mail that backers can
send to all their friends in support of the candidate, and gathering
campaign contributions requiring just a few mouse clicks.
And
for all that, the sites are a relative bargain -- Bush spent $57,000
on his over the last seven months -- with candidates hiring Web
consultants, contracting with private companies or allowing volunteers
to create and maintain them.
Lately
the sites have not only conveyed the campaigns' messages but also
made news: Governor Bush last month became the first Presidential
candidate to make updated lists of campaign donors available online,
and Senator John McCain of Arizona got under the skin of fellow
Republicans by using his site to single out examples of Congressional
pork.
Howard
Opinsky, McCain's press secretary, affirmed the Internet's growing
campaign role, saying it was "almost like the 51st state."
"It
has no boundaries," Opinsky said. "The Internet has progressed from
a billboard to a two-way street, and I think it's probably good
in the end for the political process."
To
be sure, Web pages -- unlike television or radio commercials, which
to the public can seem unavoidable -- depend on the initiative of
people to look for them. But such surfers are valuable visitors:
Bradley's campaign says that on an average day his site brings in
about $7,000 and is seen by 5,000 people, more than he might encounter
in a day on the trail.
Bradley's
campaign workers try to drum up traffic to his site by displaying
the address on every lectern he uses. And Segal has worked to make
sure the Forbes site is indexed in Internet search engines, thereby
increasing the probability of surfers' stopping by, and is placing
advertisements on news and financial Web sites.
At
the same time, as the Internet grows in popularity, candidates are
cutting down on printed campaign literature. The Forbes campaign,
for example, says it is sending out fewer newsletters than it would
have in pre-Internet campaigns, because the Internet is a faster
and less expensive medium.
And
more than in a television advertisement, the candidates are able
to convey their personalities through their pages. The aura of digital
friendliness that results can either charm or repel prospective
supporters.
Bradley's
site, for example, includes recipes for dishpan cookies, oatmeal
icebox cookies and butterhorns, from Rosalie Dunker, Dede Herrell
and Em Aubuchon, who baked for his campaign kickoff in Crystal City,
Mo. Governor Bush has baby pictures of himself and his daughters
on his site and mentions his family's dog, Spot, and three cats,
India, Cowboy and Ernie.
One
Presidential hopeful even sells his gospel recordings on line, at
www.hatchmusic.com (a site separate from that of his campaign),
where one can download snippets of Senator Orrin G. Hatch singing
"The Cross Before the Crown."
At
www.AlGore2000.com, technologically savvy voters are rewarded with
a message from the Vice President that is embedded in the source
code, the programming blueprints of a site.
"Thanks
for checking out our source code!" the candidate -- or a group of
Gore techies -- writes, describing plans to improve the code. "The
fact that you are peeking behind the scenes at our site means you
can make an important difference to this Internet effort."
In
another innovative move, the Forbes campaign blended virtual reality
with real reality by inviting 400 computer users to an on-line version
of a $1,000-a-plate bash in June at the Waldorf-Astoria in New York.
For $10 each, plugged-in supporters saw live video of the festivities,
and typed messages back and forth with Forbes and others in attendance.
Later that night his address was seen on a free Webcast by about
1,800 people, 600 more than at the live event.
In
many respects, the partnership between established candidates and
the wild, wild Web is uneasy as they plumb the possibilities of
this new technology.
"Campaigns
are a tight, disciplined, focused message delivered in a focused
way, reducing chance, variables and conflict to a minimum," said
Phil Noble, president of PoliticsOnline of Charleston, S.C., a company
offering Internet expertise. "The Internet is about millions of
voices colliding, all at the same time, about all kinds of things
in a near-chaotic pattern."
But
candidates recognize that the Internet is an effective way to get
their messages across and to keep the prospective voter's attention.
Studies have shown that campaigns can usually get 45 seconds of
a voter's attention by phone or 30 seconds in a television advertisement,
compared with eight minutes through a Web site, said Emilienne Ireland,
president of Campaign Advantage, an Internet campaign-services company
in Bethesda, Md.
And
more than ever before, the candidates' pages are used to bring in
contributions. Bradley's campaign says it has raised over $770,000
through his site, 4 percent of its total contributions. (According
to a survey by PoliticsOnline, McCain had raised $260,000 on the
Internet through September; no other candidate had brought in more
than $100,000 through the Net.)
Of
the half-million people who have visited the Bradley site since
last December, 14.4 percent have filled out a form to get involved,
and 1 percent have brought out their credit cards or checkbooks
to contribute, said Lynn Reed, a consultant to the campaign.
"The
Bradley campaign has been real effective in the overall strategic
use of the Net," said Jonah Seiger, co-founder and principal of
Mindshare Internet Campaigns, consultants in Washington. "They raised
a great deal of money and a great deal of press attention, suggesting
they clearly have a better strategic sense of the Net than the Gore
campaign does, considering that Gore is so identified with the Net.
Here they're doing something that is really going to hit Gore where
it hurts."
But
Andrew Sather, senior vice president at Sapient, Internet consultants
in Cambridge, Mass., and redesigners of the official White House
Web site, cited the Gore campaign's use of the Web to let visitors
interact with the candidate, through electronic town halls, where
people can pose questions about anything from class size to the
income gap.
The
Bush campaign has used its site to gain credentials for the Texas
Governor as a Net-savvy candidate, notably with the decision last
month to begin posting a list of all his contributors, even those
who gave less than $200.
"This
gives Americans the opportunity to look for themselves at the broad-based
support Governor Bush is receiving," said Scott McClellan, a campaign
spokesman. About 100,000 people have dipped into the 1,750-page
listing so far, he said.
At
the same time, just as readers of Web pages get more information
about their candidate, the candidate gets more information about
them, helping a campaign organize its ground troops. Several Web
watchers pointed to what the Forbes campaign calls electronic precincts
as a canny use of the Internet: In a political version of multilevel
marketing, a campaign volunteer brings in a handful of other volunteers,
who in turn bring in more. The first volunteer, the E-precinct captain,
is rewarded with special briefings, on-line video presentations,
a chance to meet the candidate and real-world recognition.
"It's
something that's growing in its own viral kind of way," said Segal,
the Forbes adviser, who added that the campaign had about 5,000
E-precincts, a few with as many as 5,000 members each.
The
Forbes campaign keeps tabs on where its e-volunteers live and what
kind of volunteering they would like to do. Using similar information,
the Bradley campaign was able to send e-mail to 5,000 supporters
in the Northeast, encouraging them to take part in a weeklong canvass
in New Hampshire this summer.
"We
were able to get 300 folks, free," Ms. Reed said. "If you had to
make phone calls for the same return, it might not be worth it."
With
all those electronic addresses and ZIP codes flowing in from supporters
to Webmasters, some Internet experts have become concerned about
what is done with this information. To reassure supporters, the
Gore site posts this disclaimer: "We do not share our volunteer
lists with any other site or any other entity."
Chuck
Todd, managing editor of The Hotline, a daily Web-based political
newsletter published by The National Journal, predicts that the
watershed event of the Internet's new power will most likely occur
in a primary campaign, in a small or particularly well-wired state.
"The way, in the past, there was a last-minute TV barrage, there
will be a huge Internet campaign to swing votes toward a candidate,"
he said.
Some
analysts say the Internet may not show its full potential as a political
tool until 2004 at the earliest, when high-speed Internet connections
become more common and zapping messages to particular groups of
voters has been refined to an art.
"The
potential watershed moment will be when Al Gore can make sure his
pro-choice abortion ads are only seen by moderate, pro-choice women,"
Todd said. "That's what the Internet allows, targeting and identifying
voters by household."
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